Clacton: Five reasons UKIP should win

On 28th August, Douglas Carswell , Conservative MP for Clacton in Essex, announced that he was resigning from both Parliament and the Conservative Party in order to stand as a UKIP candidate in the resulting by-election. Carswell had not told Downing Street about his decision until it was announced and Westminster has been completely broadsided …

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Exclusive Analysis: UKIP’s top 12 target seats

Cicero Elections looks at UKIP’s 12 target seats for the next General Election and assesses the party’s chances. UKIP’s top 12 target seats have allegedly been revealed. Supposedly, the total target list will contain 25 seats, but these 12 will receive the most resources and focus during the election campaign. The seats have reportedly been …

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Scotland Weekly Digest – Edition IX

Polls this week Don’t Knows are dropping A series of polls were published last weekend and Monday to coincide with the start of the end, and last month, of the campaign. The three polls – from YouGov, Panelbase and ICM – all give the edge to the No camp by varying degrees, but the overall …

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Scotland Weekly Digest – Edition VIII

Polls this week Two polls have been published this week – one from TNS BMRB and a Survation poll, exclusively of women voters, both published on Wednesday 13 August. The TNS BMRB poll gave No a slight bump up to 45, no change for Yes at 32, and Don’t Knows down 4 to 23. This …

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We’re focusing on the wrong Johnson

A Johnson will play a key role in the 2015 General Election but it won’t be Boris. Following the London Mayor’s long-suspected announcement that he intends to run in the General Election 2015, parts of the media exploded with joy and expectation. With the PM saying that he always wanted “his best players on the …

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Scotland Weekly Digest – Edition VII

Polling this week Ipsos MORI’s poll published prior to the TV debate between Alex Salmond and Alistair Darling gave No a lead of 54 to 40, with 7 per cent still undecided. This represented an unchanged No share since the previous Ipsos MORI poll, with Yes up 4 and undecided voters down 4. The nationalists …

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A good day for Darling

As the independence campaign’s first debate defied expectations, Darling has come away with a decisive, if surprisingly passionate, victory. Last night’s STV debate between Alex Salmond and Alistair Darling did not follow the stereotypes that have built up around both men. Darling – billed as the “bank manager” beforehand – belied his reputation as “the …

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