What can the US midterm elections tell us about the UK parties’ prospects?

  Elections are almost constant in American politics, and preparing for them is one of the least pleasant parts of any elected representative’s role. On the national political stage in the House and Senate, staffers allocate multiple hours per day to fundraising calls with a view to the next electoral cycle, no matter how far …

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GE2017: Has polling become an irrelevance in this election?

  General Elections always lead to an information overload. Vox pops, press briefings, media plants, op-eds, business letters – and of course, polls. Separating quality information from the noise is a part-time occupation in itself. Polling is often misunderstood, with commentators and analysts interpreting their results as a predicted outcome. Hence why the narrative has …

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GE2017: ‘Mayism’ enters the fray in Conservative manifesto

  The Prime Minister sought to downplay her own political philosophy in creating the Conservative Party manifesto, while playing up her role in its delivery. “There is no May-ism” she insisted, while presiding over a campaign that puts the leader at its very forefront. In reality, this manifesto launch was the clearest indication yet of …

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Trumponomics: Growth at all costs

  It was the result that, once again, took the vast majority of pollsters, financial markets and betting markets by surprise. To put into perspective how unexpected Donald Trump’s victory was, the Huffington Post news site spent several months of the election cycle filing Trump stories in their entertainment section. The decisions he makes, the …

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The Final Debate: Trump’s Last Stand?

  In what political commentators are already calling the most volatile Presidential election campaign in a lifetime, the final debate tonight is even harder to predict than the tumultuous campaign which preceded it. In the blue corner, Hillary Clinton will try and do her level best to maintain her focus and read from the script …

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Grading on a curve: Why the Presidential debate season favours Trump

  The Presidential debate season is nearly upon us. Fortune usually favours the brave, but in this case it may favour the outspoken. Tonight, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump will go face to face at Hofstra University in Hempstead, New York, quite possibly for the first time since the former Secretary of State “happened to …

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