GE2017: Will the Lib Dem’s manifesto change their fortunes?

  Despite holding the official launch event this evening (apparently so that ‘ordinary workers’ can attend), the Lib Dems have published their manifesto, titled ‘Change Britain’s Future’. In his foreword, Tim Farron says that he is making a “different case” to the British people. Rather than presenting a vision for Government, he wants to persuade …

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GE2017: Could we have our own En Marche! in the UK?

  Over the weekend, Tim Shipman of the Sunday Times reported that allies of Tony Blair are in discussions about establishing a new political party if Labour falls to a historic defeat on June 8. According to a source, the “unthinkable is being thought” and pledges of funding have reportedly already been made, should a …

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GE2017: Who stands to win in the top marginal constituencies?

  If current polling is to be believed, the Conservatives are on track for a landslide victory in the 2017 election so will have set their sights on a number of constituencies across the UK where they can make ground, taking advantage of the collapse in the UKIP vote and the unpopularity of Labour leader Jeremy …

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GE2017: Script review time

  Convention says be careful when reading across form local elections to a subsequent General Election. But that was before May 2017.  Now – uniquely – we have had local elections during the course of a General Election.  It’s like reading the script before going to the theatre. Of course June 8 won’t be exactly …

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Can Gorton wipe away the Copeland tears?

  No sooner are two lively by-elections out of the way, then now we have another. In the current, fevered atmosphere, speculation is already under way about what could happen in Manchester Gorton, following the death of Sir Gerald Kaufman. Manchester Gorton hasn’t exactly been volatile in its voting.  It is solidly Labour.  Kaufman’s vote …

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Copeland and Stoke Central By-elections: Five things to look out for

  Tomorrow’s by-elections in Copeland and Stoke Central will be the 9th and 10th by-elections of this Parliament – a pretty high tally less than two years since the General Election. For the most part the previous 8 have been pretty routine holds of relatively safe seats for the two main parties, with only the …

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